No End in Sight

Further substantial changes in territorial control look unlikely in the near future. The two sides are effectively stalemated:

RSF Territory (Southwest):

1. Almost all of Darfur (including now El Fasher)
2. Much of southern Sudan
3. Control of gold mining areas
4. Access to Chad border for weapons supplies
5. A contiguous territory that could form a separate state

Military Territory (Southeast):

1. Most of the north, east, and center
2. Port Sudan (the new operational capital)
3. The burnt-out shell of Khartoum
4. Better international recognition
5. Access to the Red Sea

The Humanitarian Hell

The situation on the ground is apocalyptic:

In El Fasher and Darfur:

1. Ethnic cleansing continuing against non-Arab populations
2. Systematic rape being used as a weapon of war
3. Children being murdered in front of parents
4. Hospitals deliberately destroyed
5. No functioning healthcare system
6. Mass graves

Across Sudan:

1. 98% of economic activity has stopped
2. No agricultural production leading to mass starvation
3. Breakdown of all public services
4. Schools closed for over two years
5. Young children missing vaccinations for polio and measles
6. Sewage and sanitation collapse in refugee areas
7. Potential for plague-like conditions

Refugee Crisis:

1. Millions fleeing to Chad, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Egypt
2. Many refugees being turned away at borders
3. Refugee camps overwhelmed
4. International aid dramatically insufficient
5. Some countries (like Egypt) have stopped some refugees from crossing

The Economic Catastrophe

For Sudan:

1. Oil production stopped (98% of potential South Sudan income lost)
2. Port Sudan facing humanitarian crisis from overcrowding
3. No trade possible between regions
4. Gold resources being looted by RSF and funneled to UAE
5. Infrastructure destroyed (roads, airports, bridges)
6. Currency collapse
7. Complete economic paralysis

For the Region:

1. Trade routes disrupted across East Africa
2. African Continental Free Trade Area cannot function with Sudan at war
3. Neighboring countries bearing refugee burden without international support
4. Regional instability spreading

The Forgotten Victims

The most tragic aspect is how forgotten these victims are. Unlike Gaza or Ukraine, which receive constant media coverage, Sudan's suffering happens in the dark:

1. No international journalists allowed in
2. Local journalists (240 killed in two years) targeted
3. Social media the only source of information
4. Videos of atrocities filmed by perpetrators themselves
5. No international pressure for access
6. NGOs blocked from entering or only "friendly" evangelical NGOs allowed under Trump administration influence

One correspondent noted: "This is a place where you can't go, you can't report. Therefore is a place which is led to extreme brutality and violent adjustment. Without a proper international community pressure more than the very strong statement from the UN, this again is a dark hole of news and it's a tragedy which is going to spread."